Now that Barack Obama has defeated John McCain, Joe the Plumber and
a barrage of negative television commercials, he will now strive to
balance the high expectations of African Americans and other
progressives with the reality of an anemic economy and supersized
budget deficits. Like McCain, the president-elect promised that
shrinking finances will not deter him from keeping his central campaign
promises. In Obama’s case, it means extending tax cuts to the middle
class, providing additional assistance to college students and
revamping health care. However, after he is inaugurated, Obama
and a Democratically-controlled House and Senate will inherit a batch
of red ink, though huge, that does not fully capture the scope of the
problem. Consider this: When George W. Bush assumed office in 2001,
Bill Clinton left him with a budget surplus of $128 billion. On the
other hand, Bush has posted a budget deficit every year in office; by
2009, it is expected to reach $482 billion. And that does not include
another $80 billion spent on the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. After
a $700 billion financial services bailout – or what should be called
“No Bank Left Behind” – Obama has already stated that a second bailout
will be needed, this one for middle class families and those with
troubled home mortgages. This will come while the jury is still out on
whether the initial $700 billion will be effective. An article in
the New York Times indicates that banks intend to use the bailout money
to acquire other banks, not to make new loans as had been promised by
Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson, Jr. Times reporter Joe
Nocera said he listened to an Oct. 17 conference call between a
JPMorganChase executive and company employees. This was four days after
the company agreed to take $25 billion in federal funding as part of
the bailout program. “What we do think it will help us do is
perhaps be a little more active on the acquisition side ...” the
executive said. As for making more loans to consumers, the official
said: “We would think that loan volume will continue to go down as we
continue to tighten credit to fully reflect the high cost of pricing on
the loan side.” After listening to the conversation, Nocera
wrote: “It is starting to appear as if one of the Treasury’s key
rationales for the recapitalization program – namely, that it will
cause banks to start lending again – is a fig leaf, the Treasury’s
version of the weapons of mass destruction.” Had Obama not been
elected, it would have been a major setback for the Supreme Court.
However, his victory is not expected to change the 5-4 edge that
centrists are barely hold. At least, it is unlikely to change during
Obama’s first term. The two oldest Supreme Court justices – John Paul
Stevens, 88, and Ruth Bader Ginsburg, 75 --- are liberals. If they are
the first to leave the court, Obama will get a chance to replace a
liberal with a liberal, which won’t change the court’s present balance.
If McCain had been elected, he could have tilted the court to the far
right by replacing a liberal with yet another conservative, thus
impacting the court for several generations. Perhaps even more
important than the Supreme Court, which hears only 0.1 percent of the
cases appealed each year, Obama should be able to restore some balance
in the lower courts. According to the National Journal, 54 percent of
District Court judges were appointed by Republican presidents and 56
percent of all appeals judges. It would probably take a second Obama
term to shift the balance in both the Supreme Court and the district
and appeals levels. Obama will be able to make an immediate
imprint on how the country treats the least among us and deliver what
George W. Bush only promised – compassion. Sure, there will be pressure
on Obama to shift more toward the center-right and he has done this on
some issues, such as the death penalty. However, he has a straight-A
voting record on issues important to African-Americans, according to
the NAACP Legislative Report Card. And throughout his campaign, he did
not back away from supporting affirmative action or equal justice. Unlike
the past eight years, we’ll be able to go to bed at night knowing that
the president of the United States is not hostile to our concerns. This
is the change that not only have we been waiting for, the world has
been waiting with us. It has been a long time coming, but it was worth
the wait.
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