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Republicans in the House and Senate, borrowing a
page from Ronald Reagan, plan to stifle President Barack Obama’s domestic
agenda by using recently-enacted tax cuts as an excuse to reduce f ederal
spending.
There is even a name for it – Starve the Beast.
“This idea that cutting taxes will lead to a
reduction in government spending is often referred to as the ‘starve the beast’
hypothesis: the most effective way to shrink the size of government is to
reduce the revenues that feed it,” Christina and David Romer wrote in a 2009
scholarly paper titled “Do Tax Cuts Starve the Beast? The Effect of Tax Changes
on Government Spending.”
In a 1981
speech, President Reagan put it in simpler terms: “Well, you know, we can
lecture our children about extravagance until we run out of voice and breath.
Or we can cure their extravagance by simply reducing their allowance.”
Republicans have made it clear that they plan to reduce
the “allowance,” perhaps by as much as $100 billion a year. A sampling of the
Sunday, November 7 talk shows suggests that they are reading from the same
script:
·
Senate Minority Leader
Mich McConnell (R-Ky.) on CBS’ Face the Nation: “We don’t have a revenue
problem. We have a spending problem.”
·
House Minority Leader
Eric Cantor (R-Va.) on Fox News Sunday: “The election result reflected
the fact that people get Washington does not have a revenue problem. It’s got a
spending problem.”
·
Senator-Elect Rand Paul
(R-Ky.) on ABC’s This Week: “Well, I think it’s not a revenue problem.
It’s a spending problem.”
·
Rep. Paul Ryan
(R-Wis.) on Fox News Sunday: “We do not have a revenue problem. We
have a spending problem.”
In truth, the federal government has both a revenue
and a spending problem. And the revenue problem was exacerbated by a compromise
between President Barack Obama and Republicans to extend the George W. Bush tax
cuts, the only U.S. tax cuts adopted during wartime, for another two years.
Obama campaigned on a pledge to extend the 2001
and the 2003 Bush tax cuts only for individuals earning less than $200,000 a
year and couples making no more than $250,000 annually – 98 percent of all
taxpayers. However, Republicans insisted on an extension for the top 2 percent
at a cost of $81.5 billion over the next two years. The price tag for extending
all the cuts over that period will be almost $545 billion.
Raising the individual estate tax exemption from
$3.5 million to $5 million (from $7 million to $10 million for couples) will
provide another $25 billion in tax reductions over the next two years to the
top 1 percent of estates, according to the Urban Institute-Brookings
Institution Tax Policy Center.
Republicans fought for a tax cut for the wealthy
at a time when the gap between rich and poor is the largest on record.
In an interview on 60 Minutes, former
Reagan Budget Director David Stockman observed, “In 1985, the top 5 percent of
the households, wealthiest 5 percent, had net worth of 8 trillion dollars,
which is a lot. Today, after serial bubble after serial bubble, the top 5
percent have net worth of 40 trillion.”
Just as Republicans fought for the wealthy, Obama
fought equally as hard for extending tax breaks for the middle class, which is
not as beleaguered by taxes as the president has depicted.
According to the Tax Policy Center, Americans are
paying federal taxes at one of the lowest rates in history. In 2000, the year
before the first Bush tax cut went into effect, the medium-income family of
four paid 8 percent of its income in federal taxes. That figure has dropped to
4.6 percent, the second-lowest percentage in the past 50 years.
Overall, U.S. citizens pay the third-lowest rate
of combined taxes – local, state and federal – than all but two of the world’s
27 industrialized nations, according to the Organization for Economic
Cooperation and Development (OECD). Only Turkey and Mexico have lower rates,
which are measured as a percentage of the gross domestic product (GDP).
Corporate tax rates in the U.S. are lower than all
developed countries except Austria, Iceland, Germany and Turkey.
Still, Republicans and Democrats are lobbying to
make some or all of the Bush tax cuts permanent.
David Stockman said elected officials know that
the U.S. is in no fiscal position to extend any of the cuts.
“It’s rank demagoguery,” he said in the 60
Minutes interview. “We should call it for what it is. If these people were
all put into a room on penalty of death to come up with how much they could
cut, they couldn’t come up with $50 billion, when the problem is $1.3 trillion.
So to stand before the public and rub raw this anti-tax sentiment, the
Republican Party, as much as it pains me to say this, should be ashamed of
themselves.”
But they are not. Many in the GOP who now profess
to be so concerned about federal spending did not express any outrage when
George W. Bush was racking up record deficits.
Bush inherited a $236 billion surplus from
Clinton. But the deficit rose under Bush to $1.4 trillion in 2009.
To deal with the mounting deficit, Republicans
want to “starve the beast.”
But the research paper by Christina D. Romer, who
served until recently as chair of President Obama’s Council of Economic
Advisers, and David H. Romer, her husband and former MIT classmate, concluded:
“The results provide no support for the hypothesis that tax cuts restrain
government spending.” Instead, the couple argues, “Tax cuts may increase
spending.” They explained, “The results also indicate that the main effect of
tax cuts on the government budget is to induce subsequent legislated tax
increases.”
The problem with most Republicans trying to starve
the beast is that they want to exempt big-ticket items such as defense,
homeland security and Medicare.
“If you look at a pie chart of federal outlays,
discretionary spending being red, non-discretionary being the blue, the blue is
already over half way mark and it’s growing in double digits,” Republican
Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty said in an interview on MSNBC. “Anybody who comes
in here and tells you they’re not going to cut anything other than waste, fraud
and abuse, they’re not going to touch entitlements – they’re lying to you. If
you want to deal with the spending issue, in terms of federal outlays, you got
to deal with interest on the national debt, Social Security, Medicare,
Medicaid…”
Pawlenty is correct.
It is important to remember that the federal
budget is divided into two basic categories: mandatory and discretionary
spending. Mandatory spending, which comprise 59.3 percent of the budget, is spending
that does not require Congress to act each year. That category includes Social
Security and Medicare. Discretionary spending represents 35.2 percent of the
budget and includes programs or federal agencies whose funding must be
re-appropriated by Congress each year. Another 5.3 percent of the budget goes
toward paying the interest on the national debt.
With that 35.2 percent that Congress has to work
with each year, the Defense Department receives 20.3 percent, leaving
approximately 15 percent of the budget from which to make all those cuts. That
remaining 15 percent covers such items as veterans’ health, which is the
largest non-defense discretionary program; education, transportation, airport
security and the environment.
According to an analysis of Congressman Boehner’s
budget proposal by the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, “The plan would
require immediate cuts of $101 billion – or 21 percent – in funding for
discretionary programs other than those funded by the defense, homeland security,
and military construction and veterans appropriations bills … This would
represent the deepest cut in funding for these programs from one year to the
next in recent U.S. history.” A 21-percent cut in K-12 education funding would
mean a reduction of $8 billion, the center figured.
In the past, providing tax cuts has done nothing
to strengthen the nation’s economy.
According to an article by Michael Linden and
Michael Ettlinger of the Center for American Progress, “The Bush tax cuts have
directly added $2.5 trillion to the national debt in the full 10 years that
they have been law.”
Conversely, Bill Clinton created many more jobs
than Bush while raising taxes.
Linden and Ettlinger explained, “President
Clinton, after raising taxes in 1993, oversaw an economy that went from 111
million jobs in August of that year (the month Clinton’s budget plan passed,
including the increase in taxes) to 129 million jobs six years later – an
increase of 16.2 percent, and more than three times better than under the Bush
tax cuts. ”
In many respects, President Obama may find himself
in situation similar to the one Bill Clinton was in after Democrats lost both
houses of Congress in 1994.
Robert Reich, who served as Clinton’s Secretary of
Labor, recalled: “The price [Federal Reserve Board Chairman Alan] Greenspan
exacted from Clinton – and a resurgent Republican Congress demanded – was a
balanced budget. As a result, Clinton had to give up much of his ‘investment
agenda’ in education, infrastructure, and other long-neglected means of
building the productivity of average working Americans.”
Rep. Jesse Jackson, Jr. [D-Ill.], one of Obama’s
presidential co-chairs in 2008, worries about a resurgence of Reaganomics, a
term used to refer to the economic policies of Ronald Reagan that featured low
taxes, low spending on social services, high military spending, decreased
federal regulations and the trickle down-theory.
In a statement issued just before Congress voted
to extend the Bush tax breaks, Jackson said, “If we recklessly cut taxes for
the wealthiest 2 percent, then Obamanomics will look an awful lot like
Reaganomics.”
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Truth about debt and taxews
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