Conventional wisdom holds that if the Republican Party is to make
inroads into the Black community, it will be through the younger
generation. The prevailing thinking is that the farther removed
African-Americans are from the Civil Rights Movement of the 1960s, the
more likely they are to support conservative political causes. In
preparing to moderate a recent town hall meeting on the 2002 election
and voter empowerment in Jacksonville, Fla., I came across some
interesting statistics about the voting patterns of young people. That
data shows that, at least in this instance, conventional wisdom is
neither conventional nor wise. The Voter News Service, which
conducts exit polls for major media organizations, showed that in 2000,
Blacks favored Al Gore, the Democratic nominee, over Republican George
W. Bush 90 percent to 8 percent, with 1 percent going to Ralph Nader
and 1 percent to others. African-Americans aged 60 or older,
voted for Gore 87 percent of the time and 11 percent cast ballots for
Bush in the last presidential election. Blacks 45-59 years old
supported Gore over Bush by a margin of 89 percent to 9 percent.
African-Americans in the 30 to 44 age group went for Gore 91 percent to
7 percent. And the youngest group—18 to 29 years old—voted for Gore
over Bush 91 percent to 8 percent. What this shows is that rather
than being conservative, younger voters tend to be more progressive
than older adults. And this should come as no surprise. After all, it
was students—both high school and college—who were the backbone of many
of the civil rights protests of the 1960s. In Birmingham, the marchers
included elementary students. To make sure the 2000 election
was no fluke, I studied the previous presidential election as well. In
1996, African-Americans 60 and older gave the GOP 16 percent of their
vote. Blacks 45 to 59 voted for Republican Bob Dole at a rate of 12
percent. Only 11 percent of African-Americans 44 and younger voted for
Dole. Again, the pattern was the same. Young people are simply
not as susceptible to Republican dogma as conventional wisdom would
have us believe. After the town hall meeting in Florida sponsored by
the National Newspaper Publishers Association (NNPA), the National
Coalition on Black Civic Participation and People for the American Way
Foundation, young people told me that they want to be active in
politics but not in a condescending way. That means it’s not
enough for older adults to tip their hats in the direction of young
voters. Rather, the young people must be included in all aspects of the
political process, including being supported for public office. In
short, they want to be full partners. As we saw in the last mayoral
election in Detroit, when young African-Americans find a candidate
closer to their age and vision of the future, they will turn out on
election day in impressive numbers. That was the key to the election of
Mayor Kwame Kilpatrick. The new mayor didn’t start at the top. He was
already serving in the Michigan House by the time he was elected mayor
at the age of 31. In addition to paying attention to the youth vote next fall, we need to pay special attention to the gender gap at the polls. The
1966 presidential election saw Black women and Black men going to the
polls at roughly the same rate. In 2000, however, the exit polls showed
that African-American women represented 60 percent of the Black vote
and Black men represented only 40 percent. When Black men do go
the polls, they are twice as likely to vote for a Republican
presidential candidate than for the Democratic nominee. In 2000, only 6
percent of Black women voted for George W. Bush while 12 percent of
Black men supported the former Texas governor. In addition to
galvanizing the youth vote, we must find a way to expand the number of
African-American women going to the polls. And before Black males go,
they should take a page from the sisters, who are clearly more
politically astute.
Next Column:
Reporting on Cuba's 'Reporters'
Back To Columns |