Given our unique history, one would expect African-Americans to be
more supportive of undocumented workers, many of them filling the
low-paying jobs once held by Blacks. Like many Whites, Blacks are quick
to say the estimated 12 million immigrants who entered this country
illegally should be deported. But that’s not realistic, as many
of the blowhards on Capitol Hill already know. A study by the Center
for American Progress, a progressive think tank, found that expelling
undocumented workers would cost from $206 billion to $230 billion over
a 5-year period. Taking the low figure, that would be $41.2
billion a year. Even worse, the effort would reach only 20 percent of
illegal immigrants. That reality doesn’t stop politicians from
grandstanding for the folks back home. Consequently, both President
Bush and Democrats looked silly when Congress failed to pass
comprehensive immigration reform. Some African-Americans are
clashing with Latinos. There are gang wars on the streets of Los
Angeles, prison inmates are dueling, and some poor Blacks are angry
that many once all-Black neighborhoods have be taken over by Latinos.
There is no denying that those tensions exist. But underneath the
friction, there is one element driving the gulf between Blacks and
Latinos, two groups that should be allies: a numbers game. Comparing
Blacks to Hispanics is a false equation. Latinos are not a race – they
are an ethnic group. In fact, they can select their race on Census
forms and more than half identify with being White. Therefore,
Hispanics can’t be “White” and a “minority” at the same time. Let me
rephrase that: they shouldn’t be allowed to have it both ways. The
Census Bureau reported a month ago that people of color now number
100.7 million in the United States, a figure larger than all but 11
countries. People of color are the majority in four states and the
District of Columbia. Hawaii leads the way with 68 percent, followed by
D.C. (68 percent), New Mexico and California (each at 57 percent) and
Texas (52 percent). “Hispanic remained the largest minority
group, with 44.3 million on July 1, 2006 – 14.8 percent of the total
population,” the Census Bureau said in a press release. “Black was the
second-largest minority group, totaling 40.2 million in 2006. They were
followed by Asians (14.9 million), American Indian and Alaska Native
(4.5 million) and Other Pacific Islander (1 million). The population of
non-Hispanic whites who indicated no other race totaled 198.7 million
in 2006.” Let’s look at that again. There are 40.2 million Blacks
and 44.3 million Hispanics. But that’s not where the fear factor kicks
in. Another Census release show that the Latino population will double
as a percentage of the U.S. population, from 12.6 percent in 2000 to
24.4 percent in 2050. The White population will decline during that
period, from 69.4 percent to 50.1 percent before slipping to minority
status less than a decade later. While most of the public
attention is focused understandably on the phenomenal Latino growth,
it’s not like African-Americans are doing a disappearing act. The Black
population will grow from 35.8 million in 2000 to 61.3 million in 2050;
it has already reached a record high 40 million. As a share of the
total population, the Black percentage will rise from 12.7 percent in
2000 to 14.6 percent in 2050. People of color are projected to
have a combined annual spending power of $3 trillion in 2011, according
to the Selig Center for Economic Growth at the University of Georgia.
By then, Hispanic buying power would have jumped from $212 billion in
1990 to $1.2 trillion in 2011, a 457 percent increase. Again, Black dollars will be nothing to sneeze at. Black
spending power, which stood at $318 billion in 1990, will rise to $1.1
trillion in 2011, a 237 percent increase in 22 years. White buying
power is expected to grow by only 175 percent over that same period. As
a percentage of total buying power, the Black share will increase from
7.4 percent in 1990 to 8.7 percent in 2011. That means that within four
years, African-American consumers will account for almost nine cents of
every dollar spent in the U.S. Black buying power is even greater
in certain states, according to the Selig Center research. From 1990 to
2006, African-Americans represented 31.1 percent of total buying power
in the District of Columbia, 24 percent in Mississippi, 22 percent in
Maryland, 20.5 percent in Georgia, 20.3 percent in Louisiana, 18.4
percent in South Carolina, 17.3 percent in Alabama, 14.6 percent in
Delaware, 14.5 percent in North Carolina and 13.1 percent in Virginia. The
reality is that Latinos are growing faster than any other group. But
African-Americans shouldn’t fear that spurt. Both our numbers and
dollars continue to increase beyond today’s level. And if Blacks and
Latinos really work on mending political fences, both groups would
enjoy greater political clout. Combined, the numbers are awesome.
Divided, it’s still the old divide-and-conquer numbers game.
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