When I read about a Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies
poll conducted for the 2000 presidential election that purported to
show Democratic presidential nominee Al Gore getting only 74 percent of
the Black vote, I knew something was wrong. Gore ended up with 90
percent of the Black vote, according to exit polls. The Joint Center
was correct in predicting that Bush would receive about 9 percent of
the Black vote in his first outing. Then, it overdosed on
something. Last month, the “Joint” Center claimed that 18 percent of
African-Americans were supporting George W. Bush this year, double his
support from four years ago. As we now know, that figure was only 10
percent. Now I know why they call it the “Joint” Center - they must be
smoking something illegal over there in order to believe that Bush
could double his support among African-Americans. In fact, I think I’ll
start calling it the “Crack” Center for Political and Economic Studies.
Someone must be on something heavier than weed. Prior to the
election, I criticized the Crack Center’s figures during an appearance
on NPR's “Talk of the Nation.” A publicist at the center sent me an
e-mail saying, “…The New York Times released its own poll of such
voters on the same day that we released our 2004 poll with similar
results. However, most experts, including those at the Joint Center,
agree that President Bush is unlikely to get that many black votes on
Nov. 2.” First, I don’t look to the New York Times to be the
authority on Black politics. Until now, I had expected the Crack Center
to fill that role. Furthermore, it’s no compliment to say you got it
wrong and so did the New York Times. Whether someone else got it wrong
is irrelevant. Second, why keep releasing polls that are so
widely off the mark? What’s the point? Are your polls being funded by
the Republican National Committee? Are you trying to give aid and
comfort to the GOP? GOP operatives, citing Crack Center figures,
boasted of making inroads into the Black community and tried to mislead
other African-Americans into jumping on the Republican bandwagon en
route to nowhere. But it didn't work. The reason Republicans make
such lousy showings in our community is because they have lousy records
on civil rights. The most recent NAACP Civil Rights Report Card shows
that every Republican in the House and Senate except one earned an F.
The lone exception - James Leach of Iowa - earned a D. African-Americans, like any other group, are smart enough to support people who support their interests. The
tragedy of today’s GOP is that in order for most African-Americans to
advance, he or she must oppose affirmative action. Look at Bush’s top
appointees. To his credit, Secretary of State Colin Powell has been an
ardent supporter of affirmative action. Condoleezza Rice has supported
it sometimes and opposed it at others, such as the landmark University
of Michigan cases. Secretary of Education Rod Paige firmly opposes
affirmative action. So does Housing and Urban Development Secretary
Alphonso Jackson. Republicans weren’t always this hostile.
There was a time when Black Republicans supported affirmative action.
Former Sen. Ed Brooke of Massachusetts, Former Assistant Secretary of
Labor Arthur Fletcher and Former Secretary of Transportation William
Coleman were perhaps the most prominent. Because Black Republicans in
the 1960s and 1970s fought for affirmative action and “Black
capitalism” programs, they enjoyed a certain amount of respect in our
community. We didn’t always understand them, but we knew that when it
came to civil rights, they wouldn’t betray us. As late as 1960,
when John F. Kennedy ran against Richard M. Nixon, the Republican
nominee received 32 percent of the Black vote. But when the GOP shifted
radically to the right in 1964 with the nomination of states’ rights
candidate Barry Goldwater, Black support fell to 6 percent and since
that time has never exceeded 15 percent. George W. Bush’s
opposition to affirmative action, his refusal to meet regularly with
the Congressional Black Caucus or accept an invitation to address the
NAACP, the nation’s oldest and largest civil rights organization, and
his snubbing the Black media makes GOP inroads into the Black community
highly unlikely over the next four years. The Crack Center for
Political and Economic Studies is not dealing with reality when it
keeps ballyhooing flawed reports overstating Black support for
Republicans. It should be required to enroll in a detox program until
it kicks the habit.
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Let’s Prepare for 2008 Elections
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